BBSW

ThinkTank Interest Rate Outlook Wk 26 2008

As fearlessly, or recklessly, predicted, variables rates have continued to settle down with both the 30 day and 90 day rates dropping slightly again this week to be placed at 7.6617% and 7.8167% respectively.

ThinkTank Interest Rate Outlook Wk 25 2008

Rates continued to boil upwards early last week and then fell backwards sharply to where they began the week. Fixed rates also fell back and are now slightly below where they were at the time of the last report.

BBSW30 is at 7.6900% with BBSW90 at 7.8467%. In a rising to high interest rate climate, this gap of about 0.15% between the 30 day and 90 day rates is roughly where the “normal” split has been over time.

Fixed rates are ranging between 7.98%-8.14%.

ThinkTank Interest Rate Outlook Wk 24 2008

Just when you thought it was safe to go back in the water (cue the Jaws music), interest rates have risen sharply in recent days on a tide of veritable economic woe.

We even have some economists reviving Paul Keating’s infamous “Banana Republic” warning amidst stronger than expected economic growth, rampant oil prices and signs of inflation becoming entrenched, perhaps even verging on stagflation. Well hold my elephant gun Minnie, the sky hasn’t fallen in just yet. Has it? Expect some normality and stability to resume over coming days.

ThinkTank Interest Rate Outlook Wk 23 2008

Over the last week, the BBSW30 & BBSW90 rates continued to close the gap with the official cash rate only to blow out again by Thursday. So we are more or less where we were seven days ago with touch of nervousness replacing the short lived confidence.

BBSW30 is currently 7.5000% with BBSW90 at 7.7867%.

ThinkTank Interest Rate Outlook Wk 21 2008

Variable rates held steady again this week with both the 30 Day and 90 Day rates tightening a fraction to now sit at 7.5700% and 7.7717% respectively. There certainly seems to be a greater stability surrounding the bank lending rates in recent times but the gap between these and the official cash rate remains stubbornly high.

Think Tank Interest Rates Outlook Wk 20 2008

Rates have come down fractionally this week with the 30 day rate now in to 7.5833% and the 90 day rate tightening to 7.7867%. Fixed rates over 1-5 years continued to fall and are down by 0.14%-0.29% to range between 7.29% and 7.73%.

John Stewart, CEO of NAB, commented last Friday that he believed, on balance, further rate rises by his bank by greater than further official rate movements looks unlikely. This is an interesting statement and suggests NAB has formed the view that credit markets have become more stable with the bank cost of funds now more predictable.

Think Tank Interest Rates Outlook Wk19 2008

BBSW rates converged this week with the 30 day rate edging up to 7.5867% and the 90 day rate coming in slightly to 7.7967%.

The nervy market reaction to higher inflation figures reported the week before has worn off with fixed rates coming back down again almost to where they were beforehand.

Fixed rates over 1-5 years fell by up to 0.29% and now range between 7.45% and 7.87%.

The next Reserve Bank of Australia media release following the RBA board meeting will be,
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